I have been doing Data Analytics Studies on the Coronavirus Pandemic for 87 days and have written 140 research-based blog posts on COVID-19 in these 87 days.
India has become the 6th country in the world to cross 250,000 COVID-19 cases. It was the 15th country to cross 50,000 cases on May 6, the 11th to cross 100,000 cases on May 18, the 10th to cross 150,000 cases on May 26, and the 7th to cross 200,000 cases on June 4 (just 3 days ago).
Yesterday, India reported its highest ever single-day tally of 10,438 cases as well as its highest single-day tally of 297 deaths. India has already added 9,941 cases and 228 deaths today, with almost 10 states yet to report today’s tally.
About 48.3% of the cases in India have recovered, which is a notch lower than the global recovery rate of 48.9%. India’s Fatality Rate (percentage of deaths) at 2.8% is much lower than the global Fatality Rate of 5.74%.
It took India 12 days to reach from 50,000 to 100,000 cases, 8 days to reach from 100,000 to 150,000 cases, 7 days to reach from 150,000 to 200,000 cases, and only 5 days to reach from 200,000 to 250,000 cases.
In the last 10 days, India has accounted for 7.47% of total worldwide cases and 5.43% of total worldwide deaths. In the last 5 days, this has gone up to 7.96% of total worldwide cases and 5.46% of total worldwide deaths.
The 5 countries with more cases than India have conducted an average of 66,853 Tests per Million residents (TPM), led by Russia with 87,176 TPMs, and Brazil in the 5th position with 50,350 TPMs, whereas India has only conducted 3,384 TPMs. If testing in India reaches the level of Brazil, India would have crossed nearly 3.69 million cases.
Even if India reached the testing level of Uzbekistan, which has a 4% lower per capita GDP, India would have crossed 1.64 million cases. Or if India reached the testing level of Ghana, which has a 37% lower per capita GDP, India would have crossed 540,000 cases and ranked higher than Russia — the current No.3 in number of cases. Do we really need to compare India with Uzbekistan and Ghana now? Is this the real state of affairs in a country which wants to be a $5 trillion economy? Prime Minister Narendra Modi must answer this question.
Five days ago, I had written that India is expected to take 4 days to overtake Italy to reach the No.6 rank, 9 days to overtake Spain to reach the No.5 rank, and 10 days to overtake UK to reach the No.4 rank. As per my forecast, India overtook Italy to reach the No.6 rank yesterday. As I predicted 5 days ago, India will overtake Spain in the next 4 days and UK in 5 days.
Over one-third of the cases in India are from Maharashtra state alone.
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LATEST UPDATES (at 4:45 pm UTC; June 7, 2020):
- The world has crossed 7.037 million cases
- The global death toll is over 403,300
- India has reported 256,736 cases and 7,187 deaths so far. In terms of number of cases, India is at the No.6 rank in the world (up from No.22 on April 14). India’s Maharashtra state, with 85,975 cases, would rank No.18 in the world if it were a country (up from No.44 on April 24)
- India became the 6th country to cross 250,000 cases
- Saudi Arabia became the 15th country to cross 100,000 cases
- 6 countries have crossed 250,000 cases (up from 0 on April 1)
- 12 countries have crossed 150,000 cases (up from 1 on April 3)
- 15 countries have crossed 100,000 cases (up from 3 on April 3)
- 21 countries have crossed 50,000 cases (up from 8 on April 3)
- 37 countries have crossed 25,000 cases (up from 11 on April 3)
- 47 countries have crossed 15,000 cases (up from 16 on April 16)
- 57 countries have crossed 10,000 cases (up from 23 on April 16)
- 2 countries have crossed 40,000 deaths (up from 0 on April 3)
- 6 countries have crossed 25,000 deaths (up from 0 on April 3)
- 15 countries have crossed 5,000 deaths (up from 5 on April 3)
- 19 countries have crossed 2,500 deaths (up from 7 on April 3)
- 30 countries have crossed 1,000 deaths (up from 10 on April 3)
- 41 countries have crossed 500 deaths (up from 16 on April 16)